A somewhat optimistic view of AI in mathematics

Robert Wegner, PostDoc at Karlsruhe Institute of Technology

I have the impression that recent advances in the deployment of AI for the purpose of mathematical research have made many people uncomfortable. I want to present my personal view on these matters, which is more optimistic.

Let me get the following assumption out of the way:

(A1) In the near future, AI results are generally always verified by trustworthy interactive theorem provers.

We assume this because it is plausible, and we do not want to discuss the problem of verifying the correctness of a potential flood of AI mathematics.

Here are further concepts which may be heavily impacted by AI, but which we do not discuss here:

  • Mathematical Education
  • Bachelor’s and Master’s theses
  • The PhD as a research training program
  • Attribution and bibliography in mathematics

The reason is that these problems are not as important or as difficult as the fundamental questions on the relevance of humans in a time of AI mathematics. I think that if we have an appropriate framework for how we think about research mathematics, then we can also figure out how to treat the above concepts. They have undergone great transformations before. We therefore focus on the perspective of the research mathematician.

Let us broadly split the possible AI futures into two scenarios:

(S1) Human-in-the-loop mathematics: AI mathematics can combine existing tools to prove theorems which are well within reach, and it can carry out further development of theories and tools in obvious directions. However, humans are needed to point the AI to problems of interest in applications and oversee the whole process, evaluating its findings and deriving value from them. Humans are needed to drive fields in new original directions and come up with genuine innovations and novel approaches.

(S2) Fully superhuman AI mathematics: There is in general no benefit to having humans around when real mathematics is done, except for educational or philosophical interest.

We are currently in a kind of (S1) situation. We should not assume that (S2) is impossible in the near future.

Let us first focus on (S2). How afraid should we be of this scenario? I don’t know, but I think: no more than anyone else. I would like to argue for the following thesis:

(T1) Humans will be useful in mathematics as long as humans are useful in any intellectual profession at all.

That is, mathematicians should not worry about being replaced at a fundamental level any more than humans in general should worry about the impact of AI on all human intellectual activity. Maybe that’s not very calming, but we also shouldn’t try to have the complete answer to a question all of humanity may be facing soon.

This question is related to the general phenomenon of the spikiness of AI capabilities, meaning that it is already superhuman in some areas, but still lacks something needed to replace human intellectual labor on a massive scale. I have the impression that the most significant thing which is missing is a sort of ability to exercise judgements. To be a successful lawyer, investor, doctor, or scientist, you need to make judgements about scenarios that involve long timescales and large quantities of people, money, components, or projects. The same is true for lower-paid professions. It seems like even frontier models, which are clearly highly intelligent in some ways, are not very good at this yet. This is why you cannot currently send out agents on the internet with the task of making money and expect them to succeed. I think this kind of ability to make judgements, and similar capabilities like intuition, vision, or vibe, are strictly necessary to go from (S1) to (S2), i.e. to completely take the humans out of the loop. This is why I claim (T1). As such, mathematicians should not worry about (S2) any more than the rest of humanity.

If this was not too convincing, I would like to say in general that I think it does not make too much sense to worry about very remote scenarios. Even though (S2) may not be so remote in time, it is certainly in economic-conceptual space. Therefore, we should not expect to be able to plan for it very well. We will just have to see what comes.

Let us now focus on what it means to be a mathematician in a (S1) world.

I think for some people (S1) is already unacceptable because they view mathematics as an activity that is fundamentally about human understanding: an art, a scholarly activity, a social status game, a great puzzle, maybe even a sort of religion. For these people, I would like to argue for the following:

(T2) Mathematics derives value at its core from being an applied science, as opposed to from human intellectual achievements.

This is similar to saying that all mathematics is applied mathematics. The philosophy is simply to consider in an inductive manner any mathematical theory or tool as applied, when it has implications or relevance for a theory or tool which is applied. In addition, theories or tools which are used in science, engineering, and other applications, are applied. Then we obtain some sort of graph, perhaps directed, where applications in physics, chemistry, engineering, biology, AI, etc., are the leaves.

Let us draw a more geometric picture. Consider the space of mathematical problems as a high-dimensional ball without origin. On its surface lie the mathematical problems which are quite literally fully applied. It is not necessary to approximate the falling cow by a falling sphere. Mathematics is perfectly capable of modelling the falling cow in arbitrary detail, including even the movement of its fur and the sloshing in its gut. Near the boundary lies what we consider applied mathematics. As you move from the boundary closer to the origin, the mathematics become more abstract, conceptual, and “higher”. In this region you would like to see surprising connections between fields and vast generalizations of concepts, which is why I like to think of it as a ball, so that higher abstraction moves concepts closer together. The origin, however, is missing, so that direction is not bounded.

Mathematical tools and theories are diffuse blobs in this ball that represent understanding of the corresponding family of mathematical problems. Between tools you have arrows that represent application of a tool in order to develop or understand another tool. The purpose of what we consider maximally pure mathematics is to eventually be used to develop tools that yield tools that yield tools that eventually reach the fully applied boundary. In practice, this almost never happens, because the space is so large and mathematicians are few. So instead we reduce a family of applied problems to a toy problem and build tools to tackle that toy problem. The study of these tools throws up new questions and problems, from which we pick again a toy problem. Then we build a more abstract tool to gain understanding of that more abstract toy problem. And so on.

The fact that our theories and tools rarely reach down to the level of applications may just be a limitation of the availability of mathematical labor. I think if (S1) comes to be, we need to become more ambitious. We either need to look towards the boundary of applications, or the center of high abstraction. Maybe let us leave the center for the top guys, and instead focus on looking towards applications.

We need to think about how we can leverage the additional labor provided by AI, and which problems our field never even considered because nobody would have the time to deal with all the difficulties. For example, in the field of PDEs, it may mean we should aim for the case of manifolds, with boundaries, and non-constant coefficients, and time-dependent forcing, and so on. We should also think about how the mathematics we do originally became of interest, and who the less-applied mathematicians or fully-applied scientists or engineers who hope to gain understanding from our field are. This shows the path to the level of applications. Ideally, we should talk to these people too. In the long run, I hope this allows us to develop a kind of integrated science, where formally verified mathematical theory, scientific modelling, statistical analysis, empirical observations, numerical simulation, and even more powerful computational perspectives, are all combined.

To say it simply, I believe there is a great demand for mathematical labor that was previously unrealistic to ever fulfill, and hence not visible. Human mathematicians may become a small part of all this mathematical labor without shrinking in absolute numbers.

I do not believe that OpenAI or Anthropic will simply fully conquer this domain, given (S1). Consider, for example, the Erdős problems, of which there are ~1200. Roughly ~450 have been solved by humans, and since the end of 2025 roughly ~100 of them have been solved heavily or fully by AI. Perhaps it is reasonable to expect that these problems would be broadly distributed along difficulty, and also that every new frontier model since already many months ago is immediately tested on all of them. That means the low-hanging fruits get picked. Note that OpenAI’s new internal “Astra” model solved “only” 3 of these problems. If we assume that every year 2 new versions are released which have steady exponential growth in capability, but also that the Erdős problems have a wide normally distributed -log(difficulty), it may be the case that only ~10 new Erdős problems get solved every year, as opposed to an ever increasing number. And the Erdős problems are just a tiny corner of mathematics. There is time and space for mathematicians to work in.

I think the real value will be generated by the people who their fields, and what kinds of problems there are, and that pick the problems: carefully, with intention, and a strategy to develop the field in a direction of interest, perhaps in applications. And just to reiterate, I believe that if AI is better at this than humans, then we are in (S2). In that case, I am happy to say that I do not know the answer, but I also do not feel a particular duty, as a mathematician, to have an answer.


Received 19 August 2026.

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4 responses to “A somewhat optimistic view of AI in mathematics”

  1. a Avatar
    a

    In this “human mathematics will survive” type of discussions, it is usually left out to discuss what happens if AI also does what is sought for the human mathematician. This also happens in this discussion: the “applications” suggested by the author could also be sought for the AI (as in, e.g., recent N-S problem). The author’s “low-hanging fruit” argument (that once those fruits got picked, then AI’s progress slowing) may not be so refreshing, because then picking “higher” fruits could be equally difficult for the human mathematician (and may require much heavier use of AI). So it is not clear how optimistic one could be.

  2. Robert Gerbicz Avatar
    Robert Gerbicz

    Very sadly, there is an incredible large number of false data in the article. Epoch AI’s benchmark used only 68 problems from the 652 open Erdős problems. on the benchmark the Astra solved 3 of these, and when tested further then solved 2 more problems. If we would assume same success rate then using roughly 2m dollars would solve a total approx 50 problems.

    1. Robert Wegner Avatar
      Robert Wegner

      First of all I would like to mention that the article was written in the middle of August.
      Also I don’t want to claim to be very precise about the numbers and which model proved how many. My point is that while AI helped solve many of the Erdos problems, it is only a small ratio of the remaining Erdos problems. And I would be surprised if AI has not been tried on all of them by various Institutions, with at least a few thousand dollars of compute budget. Of course I don’t expect they will have used millions of dollars for each of them, but I also don’t think it is useful to see the usage of millions of dollars for a single problem as the norm of what it means to use AI. It is also quite a recentl development.
      In general I don’t even want to give data. Just a perspective. I would be curious to hear other points where you would say I give a misleading perspective on the data.

  3. Eric Dolores Avatar

    Even before AI, I agree that we need to ask mathematicians to look for applications of their abstract theories (why analysis seems more easy to apply in industry that abstract algebra for example? because the people developing abstract algebra are not building the bridges with the applied word, and cheers to the applied category theory people).
    And, we need people doing applications that are interesting in interacting more with math. However, I suspect the second population would rather pay for a LLM to answer their math questions. Like, do people still pay graphic designers? or we just ask the AI to create a poster/illustration for our slides on the spot? Also, a lot of the population are traumatized by their terrible interactions with math when they were young… but the thing is, if we aim to apply our knowledge in an area, we will need the local experts’ help.

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